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Whistling Past Something or Other
Bart Hinkle
June 09, 2008 1:46 PM

In Richmond today, John McCain declared he would win Virginia.

Time was, that would have gone without saying. Now, the prediction sounds “confident,“ perhaps even “gutsy.“

Bad news for McCain: The more gutsy he sounds saying he’ll win here, the less likely he is to do so.

Update: For people who like numbers, here are a bunch of polling data.


Reader Comments:

Great, I will translate Ed-ese for you.  See, you must have said something he doesn’t like or disagrees with, or you evidenced some kind of slight, however slight, conservative-leaning belief.  Therefore, your post was a “rant.“  It could not possibly have been any type of discussion, debate or expression of your reasoned opinion, because Ed the Gweat and Tewwible did not approve.  So keep ranting.

Posted by Bill on 06/10 at 03:23 PM

Nice rant.

Posted by Bacon's Biscuit on 06/10 at 10:59 AM

Have I died and gone to heaven? Two, two perfectly balanced and sane and informed comments. Where have you people been during this insane political season? Out here in the wilds of Chesterbomaland I have not met one person in months who does not have the vapors for our newest Democratic concoction. I agree with R. Smith that the country as a whole was not particularly affected by the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. We went from flag waving “give the B…...s hell” to whining because lets face it we were losing. I am so tired of arguing with people who wouldn’t know a real soldier if they fell over one. The ones that think an army is window dressing filled with young men and women who couldn’t get a job anywhere else. I just described all my Long Island relatives. New York Times reading, Lexus driving (the ones who haven’t switched to a Prius to save the environment)Cosmopolitan swilling loveable infruiating frauds. It is so easy to forget that it was Bill Clinton that stymied the ANWR drilling and he and Mr. environmentalist Al Gore that would not present the Kyoto Protocol for ratification. Not that it was worth the paper it was written on but the level of hypocrisy and denial is gargantuan. R. Smith may I respectfully point out that to date there is no such thing as “clean coal.“ In Europe they have managed to eliminate a certain amount of particle fallout and soot but not one molecule of CO2. The technology to “sequester” the carbon “is not available to date.“ The idea of sequestering oceans of carbon in underground bunkers forever is very dicey
indeed. The scientists to date have no idea how the molecule will behave under those conditions. How volatile and unstable it might be. That is why they are building 50 new coal fired plants all over Europe. Germany with its much touted wind and solar programs has not been effective in lessening its dependence on coal one bit. The historical and basic science that states that global warming comes FIRST and CO2 emissions AFTER is conveniently being ignored by the chicken little alarmists in the scientific community. It is like building a very complex math problem on a basic adding or subtraction mistake. The ever expanding sun is a much more likely culprit for the cycle of warming that we seem to be in now. Has anyone checked out Mr. Gore’s “cap and trade” corporation in London?
Has anyone seen the latest ad on our local tv. ‘STOP CLIMATE CHANGE NOW’ That just shows the level of ignorance involved in this global boondoggle. If the climate stops chaging we had all better make our reservations for that “trip to the moon on gossamer wings.“ Mr. Gore is selling tickets. No harm being in on both ends of the deal…

Posted by on 06/10 at 09:46 AM

Sheriff Woody has killed another helpless man!!! Read the headline. The 5th this year!

Posted by The Fanatical Alarmist on 06/10 at 01:54 AM

I agree about Warner. He’s a darling..even though he broke his promise and raised taxes a month before reporting a surplus…which went where? ...because now we’re absolutley broke and have no money to fill pot holes….and on and on…

Greta…don’t worry. It only took 2 years for the country to turn on Bush and the republicans…and that was over a war that had absolutely no effect on the lives of 95% of the country other than feeling less popular among the viagra gulping euros and having to endure corn ball stunts like “freedon fries”. The dems have run on nothing but Bush bashing. Bush isn’t running this time, Things are getting rough here at home, the dems have no idea what to do and Obama is nothing more than a new brown bag full of the same old left wing…..hmmm….where’s I put my thesaurus…ah

dung…droppings…scat…dooky.

bob,

An eco fetishist is someone who obsesses over the “environment” to the point that they see imminent catastrophe in just walking across the grass. I put quotes around environment because to these people, it’s more like Valhalla or Paridise…a mythical place that exists in their minds only. I’m all for conservation. What I’m against are the absolutists who refuse to even consider tapping our own resources. I’m against fanatics who scare little children the same way people used to tell me I’d go to hell if I didn’t do X Y and Z. (I notice both Al Sharpton and Pat Robertson are now on the eco bandwagon….fitting)

We’ve been pumping oil out of Alaska for what..30 years? And the only accident has been the Exxon Valdez. Remember when that happened? Remember how we were told that it’s be 100 years before “life” could return? How were things 2 years after the spill? Don’t know? That’s because 2years later the area was well on it’s way to full recovery. You don’t know that because disater sells and promotes ideology. Recovery doesn’t.

As for drilling off the shelf…it’s apparently worth it to the Chinese who are about to drill 60 miles from Key West with the permission of Castro’s Revolutionary Paradise.

Since we get most of our oil from Canada and Mexico, we could easily take a huge bite out of what we spend in the middle east by tapping what we have here. We can go nuclear. We can focus on clean coal technology which is a whole lot more realistic than freakin 600 foot tall pin wheels and solar panels…at least for the forseeable future.

If we had started drilling 10 years ago, we wouldn’t be in this mess today. Instead, we lounge around watching propaganda movies put out by a mildly retarded vice president and demonizing the only people who actually provide what energy we do have…oil and coal companies.

People are gonna learn the hard way that moralizing is easy when it’s painless and doesn’t affect them. Those days are coming to an end. The days of waiting around for some gov’t program to come up with a new Sar Trek energy source are over too. We need to start working torwads independence NOW…by exploring ALL options.

Posted by R.Smith on 06/10 at 12:12 AM

Virginians like their politics blended. I expect that many who go to the polls and vote for John McCain will then, quite comfortably, cast their vote for Mark Warner.

The typical voter will not understand that Mark Warner will side with the appointment of ultra-leftist activist judges, nor will they think much about what sort of judges John McCain will nominate (probably not very conservative, although he has said otherwise).

So, most of our rank and file will comfortably support Senator McCain, because they like his honorable record in the Senate and as a combat veteran. They will just as happily vote for Mark Warner because the perception is that he presided over fairly good times as Governor and they like his reputation as being a good guy who is liked by the business community.

The typical voter will not examine their voting decisions much deeper than the cursory look at either McCain and Warner. Virginians will be fairly satisfied with two Democrats in the Senate and a not very conservative President in the White House. Post election, most will just go back to worrying about jobs and gas prices and never recognize that the election had any bearing on those, or other problems that we face.

With Obama, Democrats will most likely be feeling a sense of buyer’s remorse about now. He will probably do only slightly better than Michael Dukakis when the electoral votes are tallied. They would have been better off with a Gore/Edwards redux.

Posted by on 06/09 at 10:44 PM

Greta: no matter who becomes president we will not go down a rabbit hole. We won’t let that happen! (We’re already in one, anyway…)

R. Smith: I agree that Obama has some pretty narrow minded friends—people that should’ve matured into reasoned adults a long time ago. This has been my one & only misgiving about Obama. But then again a couple of my friends are whacky, to say the least. I’d hate to be damned to hell just because I’m tolerant of whackos.

Posted by on 06/09 at 06:01 PM

I would disagree (as usual) with R. Smith
on the Webb win. Sentiment against the war was most likely his issue with the most strength. Polls can change a lot from now to November. And I do agree that Virginia is not a state in the bag for Democrats.
    Nice word, eco-fetishism, but what in your Ann Coulter style sloganeering did you mean by it.
    I would be the first to admit that there are a lot of weird Eco wackos out there. I am no friend of extreme Greens who want us all to be vegetarians and ride bicycles..even those in wheel chairs.
  Personally, I like clean rivers, air,
I wish the Chesapeake Bay was cleaned up for seafood production. Those things are not a fetish but neccesary for life.
  I believe R. Smith was referring to oil. I think he was referring to ANWR and off shore oil production. drilling oil off shore is a lot more expensive than drilling oil in the sand, for one. And ANWR is not going to be Saudi Arabia.
And other sites may not be technically feasable.
  I have family friends in North Dakota who have oil on their land but the oil is under solid basaltic bedrock.
The oil companies have informed them about the oil but told them it was too expensive to drill through the rock.
  So, how technically feasable and cost effective is off shore oil ? I admit I don’t know. I am not sure the oil companies know either.

Posted by on 06/09 at 05:15 PM

I am afraid that Mr Hinkle is correct and our hitherto discerning demographic is going to follow the rest of the nation down the rabbit hole to the land of Alice and the Mad Hatter. Everything expands and contracts and morphs according to the inhabitants desires. Everybody is a boss and gets to run the show in their own head. Until the Queen decides to cut them all off. But then this is Wonderland and they all grow back and they start the process all over again fully expecting a different outcome. We all know what that means. Mr. Obama will continue to make glorious speeches and try to convince us all that he is the second coming of Abe Lincoln. This is not Mr. Smith goes to Washington. This is an individual who came out of the trenches of Chicago politics. The most corrupt and criminal and dangerous bunch of operators in America. That is not necessarily the problem as I see it, the fact that he presents himself as the Great Black Hope of America is! I think that he is a fraud and a straight from whole cloth creation of David Axelrod. That is just my opinion, but it is based on a lot of research I have done since he won the Illinois Senate seat. John McCain is not perfect by any stretch of the imagination but he does have solid stands on the issues of the day. Some I like some I don’t but I hope that Virginia along with the rest of the country will recover from the Obama swoon that it has been in for the past year. Between you and me though I wish that John McCain didn’t look quite so much like the CHeshire Cat.

Posted by on 06/09 at 04:55 PM

It’s hard to say…and pointless to try but, I think McCain will win Va.

Everyone assumes that, because of what happened with Webb, Va. has suddenly turned into a dem state. Webb, however, ran on his support of Reagan, his love of guns, his boot gimmick and his dislike of Bush. He also got a pass from the press who were busy looking into heresay about deer heads and flags from 1970.

No reporters thought to look into Webbs views on right to work…which is odd considering how much money the unions shoved in his pockets.

Obama is not Jim Webb. He’s on record as being extremely anti gun, he’s a sunken chested Harvard prissy boy who likes the company of racists and radical leftists who would slit their own mothers throats for a chance to see Bush impeached. The only variable is whether or not McCain can get his people to the polls.

I did notice that, of the 3 polls at RCP for Va, 2 had McCain up while one had Obama up. The was a 16 point difference between the 2 extreme polls ...McCain +8, Obama +8.

If republicans were smart (they arent) they’d start hammering the dems on the stupidity of this juvenile eco fetishism and nail the current fuel driven recession right between their beedy eyes where it belongs.

Posted by R.Smith on 06/09 at 04:50 PM

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